This research is devoted to forecasting the ecological and economic development of the Kerch Peninsula with the application of geospatial analysis.
The relevance of this work is that due to the rapid development of the Kerch Peninsula, as a cross-border section between the mainland of Russia and the Crimea, as a future tourist «Mecca», the environmental burden on the region is increasing. In this situation, studies related to a comprehensive assessment of the ecological and economic state of the territories and on its basis by adjusting the plans for regional development acquire particular urgency.
The purpose of the study is to identify areas of the Kerch Peninsula that will preserve the ecological and economic balance, in the context of their rapid development, as well as the location of infrastructure facilities of any orientation within their borders.
The practical importance of this work lies in the possibility of applying the results obtained by the research organizations during the planning of the development strategy of the region.
On the basis of theoretical and methodological approaches and statistical data, a multifactor analysis was carried out to determine the areas of the Kerch Peninsula that will preserve the ecological and economic balance in the conditions of their rapid development, as well as the location of infrastructure objects of any orientation within their boundaries.
The calculation was carried out using the sign weight method, this method is well applicable in the presence of a large database of spatial data, which largely describes the factors affecting the ecological and economic development of the study area.
The analysis showed that the potentially favorable areas are the North-Eastern part of the Kerch Peninsula, and the South and South-West parts are characterized by a low level of ecological and economic development.