Mechanism of neural network training for forecasting the meteorological situation when using GIS

№1 (2021)

УДК: 004.67
DOI: 10.47148/1609-364X-2021-1-22-29

M.R. Vagizov, E.P. Istomin, O.N. Kolbina, A.S. Kochnev, V.L. Mikheev,
N.V. Yagotintseva

AbstractAbout the AuthorsReferences
This article is devoted to the mechanisms of neural network training for forecasting the meteorological situation when using GIS. The structural scheme of the GIS under consideration is proposed as a project solution and the main elements allowing to implement neural networks and their training are defined. The stochastic method is chosen as a tool for neural network training as it suggests the most probable outcome of the event based on the previous sample. The article gives an example of testing neural network training as an application program «Data Processor». The results described in the article allow us to judge about the applicability of the selected neural network training method for forecasting meteorological conditions and using data in geoinformation decision-making systems.
Vagizov Marcel Ravilevich, Candidate of Technical Sciences, acting head of the Department of Information systems and technologies of the Federal State Budgetary Educational Institution of Higher Education
«St. Petersburg State Forest Technical University». Letter U, 5, Institutsky lane, Saint Petersburg, 194021, Russia. Е-mail: bars-tatarin@yandex.ru.

Istomin Evgeny Petrovich, Doctor of Technical Sciences, head of the Department of Applied Informatics of the Federal State Budgetary Educational Institution of Higher Education «Russian state hydrometeorological University». 79, Voronezhskaya street, Saint Petersburg, 192007, Russia. E-mail: biom@bk.ru.

Kolbina Olga Nikolaevna, Candidate of Technical Sciences, associate Professor of the Department of Applied Informatics of the Federal State Budgetary Educational Institution of Higher Education «Russian state hydrometeorological University». 79, Voronezhskaya street, Saint Petersburg, 192007, Russia. E-mail: olya_kolbina@mail.ru.

Kochnev Alexander Sergeevich, student of the Saint Petersburg national research University of information technologies, mechanics and optics. 49, Kronverksky Prospekt, Saint Petersburg, 197101, Russia. E-mail: opybook@mail.ru.

Mikheev Valery Leonidovich, PhD in law, rector of the Federal state budgetary educational institution of higher education «Russian state hydrometeorological University». 79, Voronezhskaya street, Saint Petersburg, 192007, Russia. E-mail: v.mikheev-rshu@yandex.ru.

Yagotintseva Natalia Vladimirovna, Candidate of Technical Sciences, associate Professor of the Department of Applied Informatics, Federal state budgetary educational institution of higher education «Russian state hydrometeorological University». 79, Voronezhskaya street, Saint Petersburg, 192007, Russia. E-mail: yagotintceva@yandex.ru.

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Keywords: geoinformation system, synoptic forecast method, hydrodynamic forecast method, aggregator, data processor, knowledge base, deterministic method, expert estimation method, stochastic method, neural network, sampling, probability dispersion.

Section: Application of GIS technologies